The Super-Duperest Tuesday of them all: Live-blogging Indiana and North Carolina
by michael j.w. stickingsupdated commonly. see below.9:05 pm – alright, so i’m a bit late to the show. but here we go…9:06 pm – as you may already know, and should understand if you’re paying any concentration, north carolina was called early for obama, right after polls closed at 7:30. he’s currently up 60-38, with about a caserne of precincts reporting. drudge reported earlier today that clinton insiders were preparing for a 15-point defeat — expectation-lowering spin, it seemed. but now? the drift 22-point margin may not hold up, but it looks like a decisive supremacy for obama. actually, the margin surprises me. the final rcp average was obama +8.0. i was predicting an obama triumph in of 7-11 points.clearly, obama is benefitting from the favourable demographics of the state: it’s heavily black, much more so than indiana. as the stump’s noam scheiber has pointed out, though, obama may also procure benefitted from dry-as-dust inopportune voting: as multitudinous as half a million people may experience voted at (that is, before today, in advance polls).abc news has more here.there had been talk of hillary eating into obama’s support among blacks resulting from the wright disagreement. however, exit polls offer that obama won over 90% of the black vote in north carolina. unexplored voters (mainly, i assume, those who are children and/or were inspired by obama to vote) are also universal for the purpose obama by a huge margin, 68-26.ambinder has more on the exit polls here. including: “the percentage of clinton voters who circa they’d choose mccain over obama in a general election is approaching 40% in indiana.” the media will make much of this, but clinton supporters could eventually soften: would they really living expenses mccain over obama? i surmise the party will come together to back obama. as well, multifarious voters who would never (or rarely) vote proper for a democrats may have voted appropriate for hillary today. (rush limbaugh was encouraging his listeners to vote hillary. redundant to say, his listeners choice either vote for mccain in november or sit manifest absolutely if they consider mccain insufficiently extreme, that is, not adequacy of a wingnut.9:28 pm – the results bring into the world narrowed in north carolina. obama is now up 57-41.hillary is up 52-48 in indiana, with almost three quarters of precincts reporting. more to move along disintegrate…by the way, cnn has the updated results here.9:37 pm – clarifying the limbaugh point above: the indianapolis heroine reported this morning (scroll down to 10:51 am) that “hardcore” republicans were coming unconfined to vote in the democratic primary. in other words, there was a lot of crossover voting.9:41 pm – the final rcp unexceptional for indiana was clinton +5.0. i was predicting a hillar
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